Not so fast with the Vettel-mania
by Guest Column 11/10/2011, 07:54
Should Red Bull designer Adrian Newey somehow mislay his genius between now and the start of the next Formula One
season, all those likening Sebastian Vettel to legendary drivers like Ayrton Senna or speculating that he could overtake
Michael Schumacher's records of seven world titles and 91 race wins are going to feel pretty stupid.
Becoming F1's youngest double world champion doesn't put Vettel in Schumacher's league. Not even close. And the
24-year-old German still has some questions to answer before he can be considered a legend: notably, if Newey's design
for 2012 isn't as dominant as the Red Bull RB7 was this season, will Vettel still find ways to win?
Fernando Alonso, the last consecutive world champion before Vettel, can testify to how quickly F1 fortunes can change
when you're not lucky enough to be driving a car capable of winning the championship. Many used to regard the Spaniard
as the best driver in F1, as some now think of Vettel. But put Alonso behind the wheel of a golf cart - or, in his case,
this year's ho-hum Ferrari 150 Italia - and talent alone won't secure him a third world title.
The same, in reverse, is also true of Jenson Button. It's not that the Briton used be a bad driver and then, when he
won the title in 2009, lo-and-behold suddenly became a fabulous one. Rather, with the 2009 Brawn BGP 001, Button finally
got a car good enough to make him a contender, having previously wasted chunks of his career driving lemons like the
2007 Honda.
In other words, F1 is not as pure a gauge of raw talent as, say, athletics. No one disputes that Usain Bolt is the
quickest human. Is Vettel the fastest F1 driver? That's much harder to judge because F1 is so dependent on the machines.
It takes both a winning car and a winning driver to make an F1 champion. Have absolutely no doubt that Vettel owes
much of his success this year - 70 percent, 80 percent, more? - to his car that he christened "Kinky Kylie"
because of its "nice back end" and the Red Bull team that enabled him to exploit its speed to the full.
If next season's RB8 turns out to be known as "Slow Joe," then all the talk of the "great" Vettel
perhaps eclipsing Schumacher will disappear faster than the tail light of the next world champion, whoever that may be.
If Newey keeps delivering winning cars and if Vettel stays as focused as he has been this year and if he is able to
adapt to the next set of F1 rule changes and if he doesn't make the mistake of switching for more money to another team
and if ... then, yes, maybe in five or more years Vettel could be hammering on Schumacher's door. But that is a lot of
"ifs."
Even in the case of Schumacher, his average Mercedes now makes him look like an average driver. When he was driving
F1's best car, he was winning regularly and beating his hand-picked team mates. Whenever they were ahead, they were told
to hang back and be passed by the German. Now that he has a competitive team mate, and no one-sided contract, and a middle-order car, Schumacher has been unable to win again and is regularly beaten by Rosberg.
Youngest driver to score a championship point; youngest to qualify in pole; youngest to win a Grand Prix; youngest
world champion and, now, youngest double champion, Vettel is leaving an impressive mark on F1. His driving in qualifying
this season, in particular, has been astounding, heart-in-the-mouth stuff, sprinting along the razor's edge between risk
and disaster with millimetered precision, courage, finesse and speed.
That Red Bull started from pole in all 15 races so far this season shows how far ahead of the competition Newey's
design has been, as was Rory Byrne's Ferrari in Schumacher's heyday. That Vettel won 12 of those poles to just three for
teammate Mark Webber shows how important his contribution as a driver has been, too.
So far, Vettel has managed to accumulate wins and precocious success without also getting a big head, which is
refreshing. An F1 champion who also is a Monty Python fan is a good combination. He also seems to have attention for the
finer details: he was the only F1 driver who actually went to meet the people at tyre-maker Pirelli before the start of
the season.
But Vettel isn't infallible, as he showed with his last-lap slide under pressure that allowed the chasing Button to
win the Canadian Grand Prix in June. Was that mistake an exception? Or a sign that Vettel could buckle more often when -
or if - Red Bull's rivals narrow the performance gap next season?
Two world championships. Fully deserved.
But the future will show if he is the real thing or just in a good car.